That number is up from 30.3 percent (+230) in December. Trump has a 40.5 percent chance (+147) to win again in 2024, according to, which pulls live odds from FTX.com,, and and serves as an aggregator of all the markets. “Biden’s chances are rated incredibly low for a sitting president, with the markets giving him only around a one-in-six chance of re-election.” “Polls continue to place him way ahead of any other Republican and Smarkets prices rate him a 70 percent chance to run again. “Donald Trump has now hit an all-time high mark on the Smarkets exchange and is pulling away as the clear favorite to win the 2024 election,” Smarkets head of political markets Matthew Shaddick said in a release. President Joe Biden is given only a 15.1 percent chance of re-election, which equates to +560. He leads the field of candidates with a 26.3 percent likelihood of winning, which equates to +280, on the Smarkets betting exchange, based in the United Kingdom. Trump is the clear betting favorite to win the 2024 U.S. (Kenneth Ferriera/Lincoln Journal Star via AP, File)ĭonald Trump’s chances to be elected president again in 2024 are the best since he left the White House in January 2021. Former President Donald Trump speaks from the podium during a campaign rally, on May 1, 2022, in Greenwood, Neb.
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